Wednesday, July 2, 2008

More Rain Forecasted for Belize

- From the Belize Hydromet Service - A tropical wave is moving slowly westward away from Belize but continues to produce showers and thunderstorms in the north, west and south. Analysis of weather charts and model forecasts indicate that an upper level trough N-S across the western Gulf of Mexico will drift eastwards and will provide more support aloft for low level instability over SE Mexico, Guatemala, Belize and Honduras. A low may form along the TW as conditions become favorable for organization of this system as it interacts with an energized ITCZ in the region.

The models are projecting rainfall totals of half an inch and maxima of over 2 inches across Belize–Quintana Roo and northern Guatemala. A reduction in showers is forecast for Thursday through Friday, but more rains are expected for the weekend as another tropical wave makes its entry into the NW Caribbean.

The latest satellite loop continues to depict scattered clusters of showers and thunderstorms offshore northern Honduras. Scattered intense TS are over El Peten, extending east into western Belize. Smaller but strong thunderstorm cells are evident over northern Honduras, heading slowly NW.

A tropical disturbance moving westward over the eastern Atlantic will become better organized over the next few days and strengthen into a tropical depression. Elsewhere, tropical cyclone formation is not expected.

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